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. You are the treasurer of Arizona Corporation and must decide how to hedge (if at all) future receivables of 350,000 Australian dollars (A$) 180

. You are the treasurer of Arizona Corporation and must decide how to hedge (if at all) future receivables of 350,000 Australian dollars (A$) 180 days from now. Put options are available for a premium of $.02 per unit and an exercise price of $.50 per Australian dollar. The forecasted spot rate of the Australian dollar in 180 days is:

Future Spot Rate

Probability

$.46

10%

$.48

35%

$.52

55%

What is the probability that the put option will be exercised (assuming Arizona purchased it)?

a.

10%.

b.

35%.

c.

45%.

d.

55%.

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