Question
You are thinking of buying Amazon (AMZN) stock today. The price of each share is $200. You will hold the stock for 1 year, collect
You are thinking of buying Amazon (AMZN) stock today. The price of each share is $200. You will hold the stock for 1 year, collect whatever dividend is paid at the end of that year, and then sell the stock. Here are the possible dividends and prices 1 year from today:
State | Probability | Dividend | Price |
Good | 0.05 | 10 | 250 |
Moderate | 0.6 | 10 | 210 |
Bad | 0.3 | 10 | 190 |
Extremely bad | 0.05 | 0 | 190 |
a) Find the return you will make in each state.
b) Standing today, you don't know which of the 4 returns in part A you will make. Find the expected return you expect to make before you actually invest.
c) Find the variance of the return.
d) Based on B and C, would you prefer to invest in AMZN stock, or in Apple (AAPL) stock. AAPL stock has an expected return of 8% and a standard deviation of 5%.
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