Question
You are thinking of investing in two sharesA and B. The returns on these shares over the next year depends on the state of the
You are thinking of investing in two sharesA and B. The returns on these shares over the next year depends on the state of the economy, which could be described as Boom, Average, Slow or Recession. The table below shows the probability of each of these states of the economy, and the expected return on each share given each possible state of the economy.
State of the economy | Probability | Share A return | Share B return |
Boom | 10% | 15% | 7% |
Average | 50% | 8% | 5% |
Poor | 20% | -2% | 2% |
Recession | 20% | -10% | -5% |
The correlation between returns on these two shares is 0.4. You construct a portfolio by investing 60% of your available funds in A and the balance in B. You will refer this portfolio as Portfolio C.
a) What is the expected return on Share A? [3 marks]
b) What is the variance of returns on Share A (provide 6 decimal places)? [3 marks]
c) What is the expected return on Share B? [3 marks]
d) What is the variance of returns on Share B (provide 6 decimal places)? [3 marks]
e) What is the expected return on Portfolio C? [3 marks]
f) What is the variance of returns on Portfolio C (provide 6 decimal places)? [3 marks]
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