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You decide to investigate the volatility of John Deere stock price using the Market Model. The market model is Y r = 0 + rXr

You decide to investigate the volatility of John Deere stock price using the "Market Model." The market model is Y r = 0 + rXr + where Y r is the return on the asset (John Deere stock, in this case) and Xr is the return on the market or a suitable proxy such as the S&P 500. In the Practice Final Exam Workbook, you will find 61 monthly returns for the S&P 500 as well as John Deere stock. a. What is your estimated regression equation? Comment on the fit of the model. b. What is the estimated slope parameter (estimate of r ) for John Deere? How would you interpret it? c. Report the hypothesis test for significance of the overall model. Specifically, state your hypothesis, test statistic, and conclusions at = .05 .

Month JD Stock Price JD Monthly Stock Return S&P 500 Monthly Return
1 46.875 0.047486 0.024828
2 54.625 0.165333 0.041518
3 51.625 -0.05492 0.067281
4 48.75 -0.05569 0.022203
5 49.25 0.010256 0.000346
6 55.875 0.134518 0.038577
7 52 -0.06935 -0.04789
8 51.625 -0.00721 0.044859
9 51.875 0.004843 0.019649
10 53.375 0.028916 -0.01914
11 56.625 0.06089 0.01186
12 48.375 -0.1457 -0.04393
13 48 -0.00775 0.111588
14 50.125 0.044271 -0.0199
15 51 0.017456 0.009565
16 51.125 0.002451 -0.02183
17 49.625 -0.02934 0.027893
18 45.875 -0.07557 0.000964
19 42.625 -0.07085 -0.01736
20 42 -0.01466 0.039374
21 38.875 -0.07441 -0.024
22 43.625 0.122186 0.009106
23 39.5 -0.09456 0.002106
24 39.125 -0.00949 0.030262
25 43.75 0.118211 0.010108
26 46.375 0.06 0.007046
27 52 0.121294 0.010484
28 53.125 0.021635 0.018697
29 60.25 0.134118 -0.02542
30 63.125 0.047718 0.022717
31 66.375 0.051485 0.000755
32 63.625 -0.04143 -0.00533
33 72.875 0.145383 0.034432
34 72.375 -0.00686 -0.00999
35 77.25 0.067358 0.019393
36 70.875 -0.08252 -0.01291
37 74 0.044092 0.010091
38 80.5 0.087838 0.032501
39 84.375 0.048137 -0.03005
40 84.375 0 -0.04575
41 76.625 -0.09185 0.011531
42 69.75 -0.08972 0.012419
43 67.625 -0.03047 -0.02681
44 70.125 0.036969 0.031467
45 74.25 0.058824 0.037643
46 68.625 -0.07576 -0.0269
47 71.625 0.043716 0.020834
48 64.25 -0.10297 -0.03951
49 66.25 0.031128 0.012299
50 71.25 0.075472 0.024278
51 76.5 0.073684 0.036074
52 81.25 0.062091 0.027329
53 82 0.009231 0.02796
54 86.5 0.054878 0.036312
55 85.625 -0.01012 0.021279
56 89.875 0.049635 0.031776
57 85.625 -0.04729 -0.00032
58 81.375 -0.04964 0.040097
59 89.375 0.09831 -0.00498
60 33 0.107692 0.041049
61 35.25 0.068182 0.017444

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