You may be familiar with the famous murder trials involving athletesPistoriusand OJ Simpson. One of the significant arguments was related to their past violent behavior. Specifically here is a quote from an article

Pistoriushad been arrested in 2009 for violent conduct involving a young woman, and he was also once investigated for illegal ownership of .38 caliber ammunition that defense lawyers said belonged to his father. An autopsy meanwhile found no signs of physical violence on Steenkamp's body.

In Simpson's case, the prosecution spent the opening weeks of the trial presenting evidence that the former San Francisco 49s running back had a history of physically abusing Nicole Simpson. Defense lawyer AlanDershowitzargued only a tiny fraction of women abused by their mates are murdered.

Use this Discussion Board forum (each student creates a new thread, gives a suitable title and records their thoughts in that post) to discuss the probability that is being evaluated in the above statements. It may be helpful to review some probability concepts seen in this course, including conditional probability. You need not crunch any numbers. Just discuss what is the probability they are talking about and how it could be evaluated. Is it as simple as - Probability that the accused murdered the victim?