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You need to download the closing prices for heating oil futures from Yahoo Finance (the symbol is HO=F) You need to download data for jet
- You need to download the closing prices for heating oil futures from Yahoo Finance (the symbol is HO=F)
- You need to download data for jet fuel prices using FRED (the symbol is DJFUELUSGULF)
- Merge the two time series altogether and compute the return for each. This should correspond to a daily time series ranging between Sept 2000 and Dec 2020. As a confirmation, plot the cumulative return of both time series in a single plot. What do you observe?
- As a summary, report the annual volatility for each. How does it compare with that of the SPY over the same period?
- Regress the return on the jet fuel using the return on the futures contract. Report the regression results, especially the beta and the coefficient of determination, i.e. R squared.
- Consider the return on the hedged portfolio that shorts N contracts while longs a single jet fuel index. In this case, the portfolio return is equal to the return on the jet fuel minus N times the return on the futures contract, i.e., . Given this, compute the volatility of this portfolio with different fractions of N ranging between 0 and 2. Plot the annual portfolio volatility as a function of N and highlight the minimum point both on the y-axis and the x-axis. How do you relate these points to the regression results? Which one is which? Elaborate.
In R or Excel Please
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