Question
You order and manage the medications in the Pharmacy for Queens hospital. The CEO is concerned because the hospital is ordering and stocking medicine with
You order and manage the medications in the Pharmacy for Queens hospital. The CEO is concerned because the hospital is ordering and stocking medicine with short shelf lives and it's not being used and thrown away.
There is a medicine called Harvoni that is used for Hepatitis the cost of a treatment is $95,000 and the shelf life for the medicine is 12 weeks. Last year's significant amount of this medicine was disposed because of the short shelf life: How many treatments should you order? For this question the mean ()was 20, the standard deviation () was 5, skewness was .06 and kurtosis was - .27.
a.You can find the probabilities for this problem assuming a normal (bell-shaped) curve. Why is it OK for this particular situation?
Because skewness and kurtosis are both between -1 and 1, meaning it is a bell-shaped, normal curve.
b.What is the probability that you will use no more than 10 treatments in a given week?
(10 - 20)/5 = z< -2.00 = 0.0228
c.What is the probability that will use more than 36 treatments in a given week?
1-[(36 - 20)/5] = 1 - z<3.20 = 1 - 0.9993 = 0.0007
d.Would using more than 36 treatments in a week be an outlier for this data set?
e.You expect to useHarvoni each day. Because of the variability you will actually sell more or less each day. To understand this, find out how many less or more thanyou expect to sell 80% of the time. That is, find two values equal distance from the mean such that 80% of all values fall between them. Specifically find what number ofxtreatments where 80% of the values fall between-xand+x
f.You can only have a fixed amount of amount of treatments on hand to sell every week. As in (e) you know you will surely use more or less thantreatments each week. If you run out of treatments, your patients will die. But if you order too many treatments, they will go bad and you will have to throw them out so you are willing to sell out occasionally. How many treatments must you have on hand to sell if you wanted to ensure you do not run out more than 5% of the time? (This is called having a 95% service level)
g.The z-value for having a given service level is called thesafety-factor. Explain what this factor does in terms ofandfor the 95% service level you found in (f). What if you wanted to only have a 50% service level? What about 40% service level?
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