Question
You work in the Finance Division of a medium size company that is considering a project to supply a customer with 50,000 widgets annually. You
You work in the Finance Division of a medium size company that is considering a project to supply a customer with 50,000 widgets annually. You will need an initial investment of $4,000,000 in new equipment to get the project started and you estimate that this project will remain active for five years.
The Accounting Department estimated $1,000,000 in annual fixed costs and a variable costs of $200 per unit. Additionally, they told you they will depreciate the initial fixed asset investment straight-line to zero over the five-year project life. Additionally, they are expecting a salvage value of $500,000 after dismantling costs.
The Marketing Department is confident that they will be able to negotiate a contract with the customer to pay $300 per unit. Finally, the Engineering Department informed that they will need an initial net working capital investment of $350,000.
You require a return of 15 percent and face a marginal tax rate of 40 percent on this project.
- Suppose you believe that the initial cost and salvage value projections are accurate only to within 15 percent, the price estimate is accurate only to within 10 percent; and the net working capital estimate is accurate only to within 5 percent.
- What is your worst-case scenario for this project?
- What is your best-case scenario?
- Do you still want to pursue the project?
Please provide answers in Excel with an explanation of calculations. Thank you!
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