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You've recorded the following prices and dividend payments for a stock: Month Stock price Dividend 1 58.28 2 58.44 0.65 3 56.86 4 59.45 5

You've recorded the following prices and dividend payments for a stock:

Month Stock price Dividend
1 58.28
2 58.44 0.65
3 56.86
4 59.45
5 59.64 0.65

Assume that the returns are normally distributed.

What is the probability that the monthly return will be less than 4%?

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