Question
ZXY Company is a food product company. ZXY is considering expanding to two new products and a second production facility. The food products are staples
ZXY Company is a food product company. ZXY is considering expanding to two new products and a second production facility. The food products are staples with steady demands. The proposed expansion will require an investment of $7,000,000 for equipment with an assumed ten-year life, after which all equipment and other assets can be sold for an estimated $1,000,000. They will be renting the facility. ZXY requires a 12 percent return on investments. You have been asked to recommend whether or not to make the investment.
In preparing and supporting your recommendation to either make the investment or not, include the following items as part of your analysis:
Analysis of financial information.
Identification of risks associated with the investment. Consider:
How risky the project appears.
How far off your estimates of revenues and expenses can be before your decision would change.
The difference if the company were to use a straight line versus a MACRS depreciation.
Recommendation for a course of action.
Explanation of criteria supporting your recommendation
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
ZXY - Forecast | |||||||||||
Ten Years | |||||||||||
Pro-Forma Income Statement | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 | Total |
Brand new Acme System - full system | |||||||||||
Income | |||||||||||
Revenue | |||||||||||
Product A | 2,400,000 | 2,800,000 | 2,800,000 | 3,240,000 | 3,900,000 | 3,900,000 | 3,900,000 | 3,900,000 | 3,900,000 | 3,900,000 | 34,640,000 |
Product B | 900,000 | 1,350,000 | 2,500,000 | 3,000,000 | 4,000,000 | 4,950,000 | 5,500,000 | 22,200,000 | |||
Total Revenue | 2,400,000 | 2,800,000 | 2,800,000 | 4,140,000 | 5,250,000 | 6,400,000 | 6,900,000 | 7,900,000 | 8,850,000 | 9,400,000 | 56,840,000 |
Cost of Goods Sold | |||||||||||
Pest Control | 50,000 | 66,550 | 73,205 | 73,205 | 73,205 | 73,205 | 73,205 | 73,205 | 73,205 | 73,205 | 702,190 |
SQF FDA mandates | 90,000 | 90,000 | 90,000 | 90,000 | 90,000 | 30,000 | 30,000 | 30,000 | 30,000 | 30,000 | 600,000 |
Rent - Plant | 400,000 | 408,000 | 416,160 | 424,483 | 432,973 | 441,632 | 450,465 | 459,474 | 468,664 | 478,037 | 4,379,888 |
Plant Equip. - Fklf - Scrb/Lease | 40,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 64,000 | 616,000 |
Plant Equip. - Ongoing maintenance | 50,000 | 70,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | 720,000 |
Plant Equip. - Parts | 40,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 490,000 |
Miscellaneous - Equipment | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 150,000 |
Building repairs | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 250,000 |
Plant supplies | 100,000 | 120,000 | 144,000 | 109,808 | 120,789 | 132,868 | 146,154 | 160,770 | 176,847 | 194,532 | 1,405,767 |
Plant Utilities | 120,000 | 210,000 | 240,000 | 240,000 | 240,000 | 240,000 | 240,000 | 240,000 | 240,000 | 240,000 | 2,250,000 |
Garbage removal/Janitorial | 30,000 | 45,626 | 52,470 | 52,470 | 52,470 | 52,470 | 52,470 | 52,470 | 52,470 | 52,470 | 495,388 |
Plant telephone | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 7,200 | 72,000 |
Plant payroll expense | 495,000 | 675,000 | 825,000 | 885,000 | 915,000 | 975,000 | 1,005,000 | 1,065,000 | 1,095,000 | 1,125,000 | 9,060,000 |
Health Benefits | 45,360 | 97,200 | 105,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | 947,560 |
WC & P/R Expense | 59,400 | 81,000 | 99,000 | 106,200 | 109,800 | 117,000 | 120,600 | 127,800 | 131,400 | 135,000 | 1,087,200 |
Installation/Additional Equipment | 250,000 | - | 200,000 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 450,000 |
Total COGS | 1,816,960 | 2,024,576 | 2,481,035 | 2,317,366 | 2,370,437 | 2,398,375 | 2,454,095 | 2,544,919 | 2,603,786 | 2,664,444 | 23,675,993 |
Gross Profit | 583,040 | 775,424 | 318,965 | 1,822,634 | 2,879,563 | 4,001,625 | 4,445,905 | 5,355,081 | 6,246,214 | 6,735,556 | 33,164,007 |
Expenses Other than GOGS | |||||||||||
Liability Insurance | 60,000 | 91,253 | 104,940 | 104,940 | 104,940 | 104,940 | 104,940 | 104,940 | 104,940 | 104,940 | 990,776 |
Bank Service Charges | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | 15,000 |
Interest on debt | 90,627 | 187,626 | 232,323 | 206,766 | 166,740 | 122,959 | 75,071 | 31,993 | 7,539 | 111 | 1,121,754 |
Incentive Plan | 13,200 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 145,200 | |
Management | 180,000 | 180,000 | 180,000 | 180,000 | 180,000 | 190,000 | 190,000 | 190,000 | 190,000 | 190,000 | 1,850,000 |
Workers Comp./P/R Taxes | 21,600 | 21,600 | 21,600 | 21,600 | 21,600 | 22,800 | 22,800 | 22,800 | 22,800 | 22,800 | 222,000 |
Health Insurance Benefit | 4,200 | 5,082 | 5,590 | 5,590 | 5,590 | 5,590 | 5,590 | 5,590 | 5,590 | 5,590 | 54,004 |
Office/Administrative Expenses | 12,000 | 15,972 | 17,569 | 17,569 | 17,569 | 17,569 | 17,569 | 17,569 | 17,569 | 17,569 | 168,526 |
Legal and Professional - Tax | 30,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 120,000 |
Cellular phones | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 50,000 |
Internet Services | 4,400 | 5,856 | 6,442 | 6,442 | 6,442 | 6,442 | 6,442 | 6,442 | 6,442 | 6,442 | 61,793 |
Postage & Delivery | 1,100 | 1,464 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 15,448 |
Office supplies | 11,000 | 9,983 | 10,981 | 10,981 | 10,981 | 10,981 | 10,981 | 10,981 | 10,981 | 10,981 | 108,829 |
Employee Food & Beverage | 1,100 | 1,464 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 15,448 |
Local/Business Taxes | 1,100 | 1,464 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 1,611 | 15,448 |
Property Taxes | 12,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 147,000 |
Travel - Equip. Consultants | 25,000 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 16,500 | 173,500 |
Licenses and Permits | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 100,000 |
Total Expense | 470,627 | 592,964 | 658,777 | 633,220 | 593,194 | 560,613 | 512,725 | 469,647 | 445,193 | 437,765 | 5,374,724 |
Net Income before Depreciation | 112,413 | 182,460 | (339,812) | 1,189,413 | 2,286,369 | 3,441,012 | 3,933,181 | 4,885,434 | 5,801,021 | 6,297,791 | 27,789,282 |
Depreciation Expense ( | 185,770 | 504,140 | 652,915 | 573,415 | 409,635 | 325,725 | 299,025 | 240,970 | 124,955 | 33,450 | 3,350,000 |
Tax Expense | - | - | - | - | 99,961 | 934,586 | 1,090,247 | 1,393,339 | 1,702,820 | 1,879,302 | 7,100,255 |
Net Income | (73,357) | (321,680) | (992,727) | 615,998 | 1,776,773 | 2,180,701 | 2,543,909 | 3,251,125 | 3,973,246 | 4,385,039 | 17,339,027 |
Forecast of Cash Flows | |||||||||||
Net Income before Depreciation | 112,413 | 182,460 | (339,812) | 1,189,413 | 2,286,369 | 3,441,012 | 3,933,181 | 4,885,434 | 5,801,021 | 6,297,791 | 27,789,282 |
Deduct startup costs | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Cash flow before income taxes | 112,413 | 182,460 | (339,812) | 1,189,413 | 2,286,369 | 3,441,012 | 3,933,181 | 4,885,434 | 5,801,021 | 6,297,791 | 27,789,282 |
Working Capital | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Lease Payments - Principal | 155,146 | 303,919 | 401,132 | 426,689 | 466,715 | 510,496 | 558,384 | 370,759 | 149,371 | 7,389 | 3,350,001 |
Pre-Tax Cash Flow | (42,733) | (121,460) | (740,944) | 762,725 | 1,819,654 | 2,930,516 | 3,374,796 | 4,514,674 | 5,651,651 | 6,290,402 | 24,439,282 |
Taxes | - | - | - | - | 99,961 | 934,586 | 1,090,247 | 1,393,339 | 1,702,820 | 1,879,302 | 7,100,255 |
After tax - Cash Flow | (42,733) | (121,460) | (740,944) | 762,725 | 1,719,693 | 1,995,930 | 2,284,549 | 3,121,335 | 3,948,831 | 4,411,100 | 17,339,027 |
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