The file (mathrm{m})-spibmge.txt contains the monthly log returns in percentages of the S&P composite index, IBM stock,

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The file \(\mathrm{m}\)-spibmge.txt contains the monthly log returns in percentages of the S&P composite index, IBM stock, and GE stock from January 1926 to December 1999. Focus on GE stock and the S&P 500 index. Build a time-varying correlation GARCH model for the bivariate series using a logistic function for the correlation coefficient. Check the adequacy of the fitted model, and obtain the 1-step-ahead forecast of the covariance matrix at the forecast origin December 1999.

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