=+2, the players seeded second and third play. In Game 3, the winners of Games 1 and 2 play, with the winner of Game 3 declared the tournament winner. Suppose that the following probabilities are given:

P(Seed 1 defeats Seed 4) 5 .8 P(Seed 1 defeats Seed 2) 5 .6 P(Seed 1 defeats Seed 3) 5 .7 P(Seed 2 defeats Seed 3) 5 .6 P(Seed 2 defeats Seed 4) 5 .7 P(Seed 3 defeats Seed 4) 5 .6