1. Calculate the potential enrollment for Fall 2017 using a three semester weighted moving average, with weights 0.1, 0.3, and 0.6, with .06 for the most recent semester. Start your forecast for the Spring 2016 semester and continue to Fall 2017.

2. Calculate the potential enrollment for Fall 2017 using exponential smoothing with a forecast for Fall 2014 of 3094 and a smoothing constant of 0.2. Which forecast do you think is the best? Why?

3. Which forecast or forecasts match or exceed the enrollment break even point if the state continues to not pay tuition assistance? Which match or exceed the enrollment break even point if the state pays tuition assistance? What is the next task President Sherman should have his staff do based on these forecasts?