For a sample of 100-year normal and standardized annual inflows to a reservoir, an AR(2) model is
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For a sample of 100-year normal and standardized annual inflows to a reservoir, an AR(2) model is selected. The first and second correlation coefficients are estimated as ρ1 = 0.65 and ρ2 = 0.3 . Estimate the model parameters if the variance of normal and standardized inflow series is estimated as 1.8 .
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