If the Ti's are independent and satisfy P(Ti =d)=p=1 P(Ti =u), we have E(Tn+1|Fn)=E(Tn+1)=pd + (1

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If the Ti's are independent and satisfy P(Ti =d)=p=1 − P(Ti =u), we have E(Tn+1|Fn)=E(Tn+1)=pd + (1 − p)u=1 + r, and thus ( ˜ Sn) is a P-martingale, according to Question 1.

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