A new project has the following success probabilities: Failure Success Buyout Prob 10% 85% 5% Payoff (in

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A new project has the following success probabilities:

Failure Success Buyout Prob 10% 85% 5%

Payoff (in millions) $50 $200 $400 Assume risk neutrality. If a $100 bond collateralized by this project promises an interest rate of 8%, then what is the prevailing cost of capital, and what do shareholders receive if the buyout materializes?

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