The article Expectation Analysis of the Probability of Failure for Water Supply Pipes (J. of Pipeline Systems

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The article "Expectation Analysis of the Probability of Failure for Water Supply Pipes" (J. of Pipeline Systems Engr. and Practice, May 2012: 36-46) proposed using the Poisson distribution to model the number of failures in pipelines of various types. Suppose that for cast-iron pipe of a particular length, the expected number of failures is 1 (very close to one of the cases considered in the article). Then X, the number of failures, has a Poisson distribution with µ = 1.
a. Obtain P(X < 5) by using Appendix Table A.2.
b. Determine P(X = 2) first from the pmf formula and then from Appendix Table A.2.
c. Determine P (2 < X < 4).
d. What is the probability that X exceeds its mean value by more than one standard deviation?
Distribution
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