The choice of the smoothing constants and has a considerable effect on the accuracy of

Question:

The choice of the smoothing constants α and β has a considerable effect on the accuracy of the forecasts obtained by using exponential smoothing with trend. For each of the following time series, set α = 0.2 and then compare MAD obtained with β = 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.5. Begin with initial estimates of 50 for the expected value and 2 for the trend.
(a) 52 55 55 58 59 63 64 66 67 72 73 74
(b) 52 55 59 61 66 69 71 72 73 74 73 74
(c) 52 53 51 50 48 47 49 52 57 62 69 74
Fantastic news! We've Found the answer you've been seeking!

Step by Step Answer:

Related Book For  book-img-for-question

Introduction to Operations Research

ISBN: 978-1259162985

10th edition

Authors: Frederick S. Hillier, Gerald J. Lieberman

Question Posted: