Question:
Two staff analysts for the city of Bridgmont, Pennsylvania, disagree regarding the effects of seniority and continuing education on promotions in the city government. One of them believes that seniority leads to promotions, while the other argues that the critical variable is continuing education (i.e., returning to school to obtain a second degree while employed by the government). In order to test their ideas, for the current employees of the Bridgmont city government, they obtain data on their level of seniority (low: five years or less with the city government; high: more than five years), continuing education (nodid not return to school for a second degree; yesdid return), and promotions (nohave not received promotion since with city government; yeshave received promotion). These data are cross-tabulated below. Analyze the data, and resolve the disagreement between the two staff analysts.
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Marginal Tables Seniority PromotionLow High Promotion Continuing Education Yes 27% 73% 100% NO 3790 63% 100% No 40% 60% 100% 25% 75% 100% No Yes Yes Control Tables Continuing Education: No Seniority Continuing Education: Yes Seniority Promotion Low High Promotion No Yes 42% 58% 100% 31% 69% 100% No 32% 68% 100% Yes 22% 78% 100% No Yes