89. Suppose identical tags are placed on both the left ear and the right ear of a

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89. Suppose identical tags are placed on both the left ear and the right ear of a fox. The fox is then let loose for a period of time. Consider the two events C1  {left ear tag is lost} and C2  {right ear tag is lost}. Let   P(C1)  P(C2), and assume C1 and C2 are independent events. Derive an expression (involving ) for the probability that exactly one tag is lost given that at most one is lost (“Ear Tag Loss in Red Foxes,” J. Wildlife Mgmt., 1976: 164–167). [Hint: Draw a tree diagram in which the two initial branches refer to whether the left ear tag was lost.]

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