Consider the following time series: Demand Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 31 28 27

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Consider the following time series:

Demand Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 31 28 27 2 18 18 15 3 25 22 20 4 14 6 8

a. Forecast the demand for each quarter in Year 4 using multiplicative decomposition.

b. Interpret the meaning of the seasonal components.

c. Calculate the MAD for this forecast.

AppendixLO1

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Business Statistics

ISBN: 9780133852288

2nd Edition

Authors: Robert A Donnelly, Robert Donnelly Jr

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