Most likely coin-toss sequence. In Parade Magazines (Nov. 26, 2000) column Ask Marilyn, the following question was
Question:
Most likely coin-toss sequence. In Parade Magazine’s
(Nov. 26, 2000) column “Ask Marilyn,” the following question was posed: “I have just tossed a [balanced] coin 10 times, and I ask you to guess which of the following three sequences was the result. One (and only one) of the sequences is genuine.”
1. H H H H H H H H H H 2. H H T T H T T H H H 3. T T T T T T T T T T Marilyn’s answer to the question posed was “Though the chances of the three specific sequences occurring randomly are equal … it’s reasonable for us to choose sequence (2) as the most likely genuine result.” Do you agree?
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