15. The game of frustration solitaire is played by turning the cards of a randomly shuffled deck...

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15. The game of frustration solitaire is played by turning the cards of a randomly shuffled deck of 52 playing cards over one at a time. Before you turn over the first card, say ace; before you turn over the second card, say two, before you turn over the third card, say three. Continue in this manner (saying ace again before turning over the fourteenth card, and so on.) You lose if you ever turn over a card that matches what you have just said. Use the Poisson paradigm to approximate the probability of winning. (The actual probability is .01623.)

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