Exercise 7.9.4. Consider the ARMA(1,1) model yt = 100.7yt1+et 0.4et1, 2 = 3 (a) Find ,
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Exercise 7.9.4. Consider the ARMA(1,1) model yt = 10−0.7yt−1+et −0.4et−1, σ 2 = 3
(a) Find μ, σ (0), σ (1), σ (2), and σ (3).
(b) If y4 = 12, will y5 tend to be less than or greater than μ?
(c) Is the process stationary?
(d) Give ˆE(y4+k|Y∞) and the prediction variance for k = 1,2,3 and Y =
(12,11,11,12).
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