An investment of $10,000 in a high-risk venture has a 50-50 chance over the next year of
Question:
An investment of $10,000 in a high-risk venture has a 50-50 chance over the next year of increasing to $14,000 or decreasing to $8000. Thus the net return can be either $4000 or −$2000.
(a) Assuming a risk-neutral investor and a utility scale from 0 to 100, determine the utility of $0 net return on investment and the associated indifference probability.
(b) Suppose that two investors A and B have exhibited the following indifference probabilities:
Graph the utility functions for investors A and B, and categorize each investor as either a risk-averse person or a risk seeker.
(c) Suppose that investor A has the chance to invest in one of two ventures. Venture I can produce a net return of $2000 with probability .4 or a net loss of $1000 with probability .6. Venture II can produce a net return of $3000 with probability .6 and no return with probability .4. Based on the utility function in (b), use the expected utility criterion to determine the venture investor A should select. What is the expected monetary value associated with the selected venture?
(d) Repeat part (c) for investor B.
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