Assume that E1 e1 (the observed error in January) and M1 e1. Use

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Assume that E1  e1 (the observed error in January)

and M1  e1. Use   .1.

b. For what types of time series will the Trigg-Leach adaptive response rate give more accurate forecasts, and under what circumstances will it give less accurate forecasts?

Comment on the advisability of using such a method for situations in which forecasts are not closely monitored.

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Production And Operations Analysis

ISBN: 9781478623069

7th Edition

Authors: Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen

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