Remember Leah (Exercise 47)? Suppose you pick her up at the Denver airport, and her luggage is not there. What is the probability that Leah's first flight was delayed?
Exercise 47
Leah is flying from Boston to Denver with a connection in Chicago. The probability her first flight leaves on time is 0.15. If the flight is on time, the probability that her luggage will make the connecting flight in Chicago is 0.95, but if the first flight is delayed, the probability that the luggage will make it is only 0.65.