1. The two events that I have picked is the probability that I hit a deer and the probability that I put on a blue shirt that morning.

The reason why I chose those probabilities is because I drive through country roads everyday to get to work which a lot of deer love to cross. I usually head to work at around 5:30 am which is prime time for deer. Looking it up there is a 1 in 127 chance of you hitting one which is why I used the number 0.007. For the blue shirt, nothing specific but the reason why I chose 0.14 is the fact that there are 7 days in the week and what are the chances that I pick 1 day out of the week to wear a blue shirt.

2. The probability of you hitting a deer is P(hitting a deer)=0.007

3. The probability of you putting on a blue shirt is P(putting on blue shirt)=0.14

4. The probability that both events occur are (0.007) x (0.14) = 0.00098

After doing my calculations, you can see that it is a very low probability of these two events occurring at the same time.

1. Assume that your classmates' events are independent. Use the formula for independence to calculate the probability that both of them occur (this means we're temporarily ignoring their estimation for the initial post's step 4) 2. Are the two events independent? Is your classmates' estimate of the intersection the same as the estimation for independence? 3. Discuss why these two events might or might not be independent.