3. Develop 3 simulation models to predict total revenue for a single 16-game season. One variable in your simulations should be the team's win percentage. Use Nave, Moving

average, Weighted Moving Average (0.7, 0,2 and 0.1 respectively) and compare the models.

The simulation models should be entered into a spreadsheet to facilitate multiple

replications.

Date of Home Game

Day of Week /Date/ Year/ Opponent/ Single Game Tickets Sold/ Concession Revenues Saturday 4-Nov 2006 Non-Conference 1,704 3,158.40

Tuesday 7-Nov 2006 Non-Conference 716 1,838.75

Saturday 11-Nov 2006 Non-Conference 1,218 5,767.53

Wednesday 15-Nov 2006 Non-Conference 1,083 4,116.60

Saturday 18-Nov 2006 Non-Conference 1,755 5,246.31

Wednesday 29-Nov 2006 Non-Conference 909 2,582.50

Wednesday 6-Dec 2006 Non-Conference 1,107 3,687.35

Saturday 16-Dec 2006 Non-Conference 909 4,766.02

Wednesday 10-Jan 2007 Conference 2,581 4,775.50

Saturday 13-Jan 2007 Conference 3,694 8,222.27

Wednesday 24-Jan 2007 Conference 3,462 8,651.67

Saturday 27-Jan 2007 Conference 2,474 8,907.81

Tuesday 6-Feb 2007 Conference 1,879 5,289.60

Saturday 17-Feb 2007 Conference 2,778 7,365.01

Wednesday 21-Feb 2007 Conference 1,297 5,214.18

Saturday 3-Mar 2007 Conference 2,380 6,487.08

Saturday 3-Nov 2007 Non-Conference 995 3,200.62

Tuesday 6-Nov 2007 Non-Conference 717 2,329.95

Saturday 10-Nov 2007 Non-Conference 1,266 3,424.17

Monday 26-Nov 2007 Non-Conference 1,615 2,714.35

Saturday 8-Dec 2007 Non-Conference 1,469 3,392.11

Saturday 29-Dec 2007 Non-Conference 1,033 3,131.53

Monday 31-Dec 2007 Non-Conference 688 1,509.28

Saturday 5-Jan 2008 Conference 941 3,180.81

Wednesday 16-Jan 2008 Conference 1,095 2,847.82

Saturday 26-Jan 2008 Conference 1,894 5,050.42

Saturday 2-Feb 2008 Conference 1,853 5,597.73

Wednesday 6-Feb 2008 Non-Conference 660 1,615.64

Wednesday 13-Feb 2008 Conference 601 1,961.13

Tuesday 19-Feb 2008 Conference 757 2,490.31

Saturday 23-Feb 2008 Conference 1,411 4,283.53

Saturday 1-Mar 2008 Conference 1,664 4,857.05

Friday 7-Nov 2008 Non-Conference 941 2,101.67

Friday 14-Nov 2008 Non-Conference 839 2,383.71

Wednesday 19-Nov 2008 Non-Conference 3,084 2,713.87

Saturday 22-Nov 2008 Non-Conference 1,559 3,143.83

Wednesday 26-Nov 2008 Non-Conference 593 2,642.14

Saturday 29-Nov 2008 Non-Conference 937 3,717.70

Tuesday 16-Dec 2008 Non-Conference 522 1,838.49

Saturday 20-Dec 2008 Non-Conference 635 4,082.60

Wednesday 14-Jan 2009 Conference 1,723 4,968.37

Saturday 24-Jan 2009 Conference 3,172 6,878.54

Tuesday 27-Jan 2009 Conference 987 2,009.78

Saturday 7-Feb 2009 Conference 1,995 5,658.42

Wednesday 18-Feb 2009 Conference 855 2,374.29

Saturday 21-Feb 2009 Conference 1,953 5,673.95

Wednesday 4-Mar 2009 Conference 2,235 6,261.72

Saturday 7-Mar 2009 Conference 2,972 7,623.75

Saturday 7-Nov 2009 Non-Conference 2,273 3,503.78

Friday 13-Nov 2009 Non-Conference 1,534 2,879.42

Wednesday 18-Nov 2009 Non-Conference 729 1,958.48

Saturday 21-Nov 2009 Non-Conference 1,483 3,203.87

Friday* 27-Nov 2009 Non-Conference 742 2,355.42

Saturday* 28-Nov 2009 Non-Conference 652 1,759.35

Sunday* 29-Nov 2009 Non-Conference 488 1,521.30

Saturday 5-Dec 2009 Non-Conference 2,446 2,057.57

Sunday 20-Dec 2009 Non-Conference 515 3,732.54

Wednesday 30-Dec 2009 Non-Conference 599 2,200.72

Saturday 2-Jan 2010 Non-Conference 652 2,525.92

Wednesday 6-Jan 2010 Conference 583 2,064.41

Saturday 9-Jan 2010 Conference 1,012 3,744.89

Saturday 16-Jan 2010 Conference 2,327 6,715.82

Wednesday 27-Jan 2010 Conference 1,009 2,729.87

Wednesday 3-Feb 2010 Conference 897 2,035.50

Saturday 13-Feb 2010 Conference 1,519 4,558.25

Saturday 20-Feb 2010 Conference 1,335 2,428.80

Tuesday 2-Mar 2010 Conference 707 1,624.36

season Year/ No. of Season/ Tickets sold/ Win Percentage

2006-2007 2006 4,088 0.619

2007-2008 2007 4,120 0.4

2008-2009 2008 3,844 0.643

2009-2010 2009 3,819 0.323