Question
3) There is a 7% chance that a band's lead singer's voice isn't working due to illness on any given Saturday. This band has played
3) There is a 7% chance that a band's lead singer's voice isn't working due to illness on any given Saturday. This band has played 19 Saturday gigs so far this year, and at each of these the lead singer's voice has been fine. What is the probability that the lead singer's voice will be fine at the band's next Saturday gig, which is 2 weeks from now? Assume she never is sick for more than 6 consecutive days, and the interval between bouts of illness is inherently unpredictable. Hint: You DO have enough information to provide a numerical answer for this question; in other words, "Not enough information" is incorrect.
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