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8.6 Reconsider the portfolio selection example, including its spreadsheet model in Figure 8.13, given in Section 8.2. Note in Table 8.2 that Stock 2 has

8.6 Reconsider the portfolio selection example, including its spreadsheet model in Figure 8.13, given in Section 8.2. Note in Table 8.2 that Stock 2 has the highest expected return and stock 3 has by far the lowest. Nevertheless, the changing cells Portfolio (C14:E14) provide an optimal solution that calls for purchasing far more of Stock 3 than of Stock 2. Although purchasing so much of Stock 3 greatly reduces the risk of the portfolio, an aggressive investor may be unwilling to own so much of a stock with such a low expected return.

For the sake of such an investor, add a constraint to the model that specifies that the percentage of Stock 3 in the portfolio can- not exceed the amount specified by the investor. Then compare the expected return and risk (standard deviation of the return) of the optimal portfolio with that in Figure 8.13 when the upper bound on the percentage of Stock 3 allowed in the portfolio is set at the following values.

a)20%

b)0%

c)Generate a parameter analysis report using RSPE to systematically try all the percentages at 5% intervals from 0% to 50%.

Portfolio Selection Problem (Nonlinear Programming)

Stock 1

Stock 2

Stock 3

Expected Return

21%

30%

8%

Risk (Stand. Dev.)

25%

45%

5%

Joint Risk (Covar.)

Stock 1

Stock 2

Stock 3

Stock 1

0.040

-0.005

Stock 2

-0.010

Stock 3

Stock 1

Stock 2

Stock 3

Total

Portfolio

40.2%

21.7%

38.1%

100%

=SUM(Portfolio)

=

100%

Portfolio

Minimum expected returns

Expected return

18%

=SUMPRODUCT(StockExpectedReturn,Portfolio)

=>

18%

Risk (variance)

0.0238

=((SD1*Stock1)^2)+((SD2*Stock2)^2)+((SD3*Stock3)^2)+2*Covar12*Stock1*Stock2+2*Covar13*Stock1*Stock3+2*Covar23*Stock2*Stock3

Risk (stand. Dev.)

15.4%

=SQRT(Variance)

Range Name Cells

Covar12 D9

Covar13 E9

Covar23 E10

Covariance C9:E11

ExpectedReturn C19

MinExpectedReturn E19

OneHundredPercent H14

Portfolio C14:E14

SD1 C6

SD2 D6

SD3 E6

StandDev C23

Stock1 C14

Stock2 D14

Stock3 E14

StockExpectedReturn C4:E4

StockStandDev C6:E6

Total F14

Variance C21

Solver Paramenters

Set Objective Cell: Variance

To: Min

By Changing Variable Cells:

Portfolio

Subject to the Constraints:

ExpectedReturn >= MinExpectedReturn Total = OneHundredPercent

Solver Options:

Make Variables Nonnegative Solving Method: GRG Nonlinear

or Quadratic (RSPE)

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