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A company has developed the following cash flow forecast for their new project. Rs. in million: Year 0 Years 1 - 10 Investment

A company has developed the following cash flow forecast for their new project. Rs. in million:

 

 

Year 0

Years 1 - 10

Investment

(400)

 

Sales

 

440

Variable costs (75% of sales)

 

330        

Fixed costs

 

20

Depreciation(Straight line method)

 

40

Pre-tax profit    

 

50

Taxes( at 20 %) 

 

10

Profit after taxes

 

40

Cash flow from operations

 

80

Net cash flow

 

80



What is the NPV of the new project? Assume that the cost of capital is 10 percent. The range of values that the underlying variables can take under three scenarios: pessimistic, expected and optimistic are as shown below:

 

Underlying Variable Investment               (Rs. in million)                                   

Pessimistic   420

Expected   400                  

Optimistic  360

 Sales (Rs. in million)

350        

  440      

500

Variable cost as a percent of sales

80          

75

70

Fixed costs (Rs. in million)

25          

20    

18

Cost of capital (%)

11          

10

9




 1.What are the NPVs under the different scenarios ?

2.Calculate the accounting break-even point and the financial break-even point for the new project?

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