Question
A furniture maker is interested in forecasting sales, and believes that there is a relationship between quarterly sales (Y) and the number of housing starts
A furniture maker is interested in forecasting sales, and believes that there is a relationship between quarterly sales ("Y") and the number of housing starts in the same quarter one year earlier ("X1").Also, sales of furniture are usually higher in the spring and summer than the fall and winter quarters.The maker creates a dummy variable X2 with a value corresponding to each quarter as follows:
X2 = 1 if a spring or summer quarter; and = 0 if a fall or winter quarter
The maker collects up 40 observations on sales (in 000's) and housing starts and derives the following regression equation:
Y=125.1 + .46X1 + 25.7X2
(10.2)(6.9)(1.7)
(The t-statistic from the regression analysis is shown in parentheses below each coefficient.)
i)Interpret for someone unfamiliar with regression the meaning of the coefficient of X2, 25.7.
ii)Is there a seasonal effect, based on this evidence?Why or why not?
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