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A shareholder of Company B is concerned about the recent performance of the company. She has collected the following financial information. Year to 31 December

A shareholder of Company B is concerned about the recent performance of the company. She has collected the following financial information.

Year to 31 December

2019

2020

2021

Revenue in £'m

9.4

9.6

10.2

Earnings per share in pence

62.3

67.4

59.4

Dividend per share in pence

34.6

35.6

37.4

Closing ex-dividend share price in £

7.2

7.9

6.6

CAPM expected return (%)

10

12

9

The finance director of Company B proposes that it will pay no dividend in 2022, 2023 and 2024. The company will pay a dividend per share of 62 pence in 2025. It will then grow at 4% per year in 2026 and beyond.

The expected cost of equity of Company B is 10% per year for 2022 and onward.

Dividend is paid at the end of each year.

Required

  1. (i) We define the predictive P/E as price at the beginning of the year divided by the earnings for the year. Calculate the average predictive P/E. (3 marks)

  1. Suppose that we expect the earnings per share for 2022 is 60 pence. What is the expected share price based on the average predictive P/E? (2 marks)

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