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A software company is considering launching a new product in the market. To record consumer behavior, the company participated in two domestic software fairs in

A software company is considering launching a new product in the market. To record consumer behavior, the company participated in two domestic software fairs in Athens and Thessaloniki that cost €7,000. The results showed that there are two Scenarios (A and B) whose probabilities of occurrence are 60% and 40% respectively, based on consumers’ willingness to buy the new product. To start production, €100,000 is required for new machinery, plus another €2,000 for transport costs and €1,000 for installation costs. This is state-of-the-art technology machinery, thus, its economic life is only two years. The new machinery will be fully depreciated at the end of its economic life and the company applies the straight-line depreciation method. Table 1 shows the estimated figures on sales, variable costs, selling price, management and distribution costs, and working capital needs. At the end of the second year, the working capital will be recovered.

Table 1: Estimated financial data

1 st year

2nd year

Scenario Α

Scenario B

Scenario Α

Scenario B

Sales (in units)

18,500

22,000

21,500

23,500

Variable cost per unit (in €)

1

2

2

3

Sales price per unit (in €)

6

7

7

8

Administration & disposal costs (fixed) (in €)

1,500

2,100

2,000

2,300

Working capital (in €)

10,000

10,000

12,000

12,000

The tax rate is 25%. The company will finance the investment by 2/6 with new share capital, and by 4/6 with a new bond. The cost of share capital is 10% while the (pretax) cost of debt is 8%. Questions:

a) Calculate the annual expected net cash flows of the project.

b) Calculate the respective, per year, standard deviations, and coefficients of variation of the net cash flows, and comment on the findings.

c) Calculate the Weighted Average Cost of Capital.

d) Evaluate the investment using the Net Present Value (NPV) method.

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ScenarioA Year 0 1 2 1Initial investment 103000 10000020001000 2Working capital reqd 10000 12000 3Change in NWCPrev yrCurrent yr 10000 2000 12000 Oper... blur-text-image

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