a; suppose tnat tnere are mro is; canoloates i|.e.. JONES ano JDI'IHS} In tne upcoming presidential election. Sara notes that she has discussed the presidential election candidates with 15 friends, and 1o said that they are yoting for candidate Jones. Sara is therefore convinced that candidate Jones will win the election because Jones gets more than 50% of 1trotes. 1. Based on what you now know about statistical inference. is Sara's conclusion a logical conclusion? Why or why not? 2. How many friend samples Sara should haye in order to draw the conclusion with 95% confidence interyal? Why? 3. How would you explain your conclusion to Sara without using any statistical jargon? Why\