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A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 86%reliable when the person is guilty and 98% reliable when the person is innocent.
A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 86%reliable when the person is guilty and 98% reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 14% of the guilty are judged innocent by the serum and 2% of the innocent are judged guilty. Suppose that a suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 9% are guilty of having committed a crime.Ifthe serum indicates that the suspect is guilty of having committed a crime, what is the probability that the suspect is innocent?
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