Question
ALL THE calculations in panel A are correct, please show the calculation for panel B i NEED THE DETAIL CALCULATION FOR PANEL B. HOW TO
ALL THE calculations in panel A are correct, please show the calculation for panel B
i NEED THE DETAIL CALCULATION FOR PANEL B. HOW TO GET THE PRESENT VALUE BASED ON THE GROWTH RATE.
FOR PANEL B:
To find the Intrinsic Value (IV), all you need is to recall how you learned to take Present Values (PV) of a sent figures; that is, the figure in the FCF column in Panel A. To do so, you will need a Discount Rate, aka required ROR (k) which is a proxy for Risk and a Terminal Growth Rate (g); that is the g for years 11-on. In that Panel, you have many ks and gs.
But as a start, find the IV for ALL the FCFs given in Panel A and assume k=10% and g=6%. If you take the PV of such FCFs you will arrive at an IV of $408.03 (your decimals may differ a bit due to rounding). You can do this first manually and then using Time Value functions in the Excel.
Finally, once you can find the IV for the 10% k and 6% g, you can use the same formulation to for IV for ALL the given ks and gs. In other words, your job in the IA is also to reproduce Panel B!
Cash Flows and Valuation Exhibit 1 Key Assumptions - - Years 6 - 10: Terminal Years (Year 11 on): Years 1 - 5: initial Sales Growth Rate EB1AT/S (FA+WC)/S 100.0 20.0% 10.0% 50.0% Growth Rate EBIAT/S (FA+WC)/S 15.0% 10.0% 50.0% Terminal Growth Rate Terminal EBIAT/S Terminal (FA+UC)/5 6.0% 10.0% 50.0% Growth R ate EBIAT/ Sales FA+WC/ Sales Change FA+UCFA+WC C - ative FCF FCF/ EBIAT Year Sales EBIAT FCF NA NA 0.0% 10.0% 2.0 NA 2.0 4.4 7.3 10.7 Sanel 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 100.0 120.0 144.0 172.8 207.4 248.8 286.2 329.1 378.4 435.2 500.5 530.5 NA 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 6.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% NA 12.0 16.4 17.3 20.7 24.9 28.6 32.9 37.8 43.5 50.0 53.1 50.0 60.0 72.0 86.4 103.7 124.4 143.1 164.5 189.2 217.6 250.2 265.3 NA 10.0 12.0 14.4 17.3 20.7 18.7 21.5 24.7 28.4 32.6 15.0 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.1 10.0 11.4 13.2 15.1 17.4 38.0 NA 16.77 16.15 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 34.8% 34.82 34.8% 34.82 34.8% 71.7% 24.8 36.3 9.4 66.6 82.0 120.0 Total Present Value of Free Cash Flows Terminal Growth Rate Discount - Rate 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 3.0% 6.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 26.0% 28.0% 30.0% Panel 234.6 171.2 129.3 100.2 79.4 54.1 52.5 43.7 36.7 31.3 247.5 177.5 132.5 101.9 80.3 64.5 52.7 43.7 36.7 31.2 26.8 263.6 185.2 136.3 103.9 81.3 65.0 52. 9 43.8 36.7 31.1 26.7 284.2 194.5 140.8 106. 1 82.4 65.5 53.1 43.8 36.6 31.1 26.6 311.8 206.1 146.2 108.7 83.7 56.1 53.4 43.9 36.6 31.0 26.5 350.4 221.1 152.8 111.8 85. 1 56.8 53.6 408.3 241.0 161.1 115.5 86.9 67.5 53.9 44.0 36.5 30.8 26.3 504.8 268.9 171.7 120.1 88.9 68.4 54.3 44.1 36.5 30.7 26.2 697.7 310.8 185.8 125.7 91.3 69.5 56.7 44.2 36.4 30.5 26.0 36.6 30.9 26.4 EBIAT = Earnings Before Interest, But After Taxes FA - Net Fixed Assets WC = Operating Working Capital FCF = Total Free Cash Flow = EBIAT . (Change in FA and WC) Total Present Value = Present Value of FCF - Present Value of Terminal Value Terminal Value = FCF in year 11 divided by (Discount Rate - Terminal Growth Rate) C D F G H KL B 1 Cash flows and valuation 2 Key Assumptions Terminal Years (Year 11 on): 3 Years 1-5: 4 Initial Sales 5 Growth Rate 6 EBIAT/S 7 (FA+WC)/S Years 6-10: 100.00 20.0% Growth Rate 10.0% EBIAT/S 50.0% (FA+WC)/S 15.0% Terminal Growth Rate 10.0% Terminal EBIAT/S 50.0% Terminal (FA+WC)/S 10.0% 50.0% Cumulative Year FCF FCF NA NA 2.0 2.0 2.4 Sales 100.0 120.0 144.0 172.8 207.4 248.8 286.2 329.1 378.4 435.2 500.5 530.5 Growth Rate NA 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 6.0% EBIAT/Sales NA 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% FA+WC/ Sales 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% EBIAT NA 12.0 14.4 17.3 20.7 24.9 28.6 32.9 37.8 43.5 50.1 53.1 FA+WC 50.0 60.0 72.0 86.4 103.7 124.4 143.1 164.6 189.2 217.6 250.3 265.3 Change FA+WC NA 10.0 12.0 14.4 17.3 20.7 18.7 21.5 24.7 28.4 32.7 15.0 2.9 3.4 4.2 9.9 11.5 13.2 15.1 17.4 38.1 Panel A FCF/EBIAT NA 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 16.6% 16.8% 34.7% 34.8% 34.9% 34.7% 34.8% 71.7% 4.4 7.3 10.7 14.9 24.8 36.3 49.5 64.6 82.0 120.0 11 Total present value of free cash flow Terminal Growth Rate 2% Discount rate 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 26.0% 28.0% 30.0% 0% 234.6 171.2 129.3 100.2 79.4 64.1 52.5 43.7 36.7 31.3 26.9 1% 247.5 177.5 132.5 101.9 80.3 64.5 52.7 43.7 36.7 31.2 26.8 3% 284.2 194.5 140.8 106.1 82.4 65.5 53.1 43.8 36.6 31.1 26.6 263.6 185.2 136.3 103.9 81.3 65.0 52.9 43.8 36.7 31.1 26.7 4% 311.8 206.1 146.2 108.7 83.7 66.1 53.4 43.9 36.6 31.0 26.5 5% 350.4 221.1 152.8 111.8 85.1 66.8 53.6 43.9 36.6 30.9 26.4 6% 408.3 241.0 161.1 115.5 86.9 67.5 53.9 44.0 36.5 30.8 26.3 7% 504.8 268.9 171.7 120.1 88.9 68.4 54.3 44.1 36.5 30.7 26.2 8% 697.7 310.8 185.8 125.7 91.3 69.5 54.7 44.2 36.4 30.5 26.0 Panel B Cash Flows and Valuation Exhibit 1 Key Assumptions - - Years 6 - 10: Terminal Years (Year 11 on): Years 1 - 5: initial Sales Growth Rate EB1AT/S (FA+WC)/S 100.0 20.0% 10.0% 50.0% Growth Rate EBIAT/S (FA+WC)/S 15.0% 10.0% 50.0% Terminal Growth Rate Terminal EBIAT/S Terminal (FA+UC)/5 6.0% 10.0% 50.0% Growth R ate EBIAT/ Sales FA+WC/ Sales Change FA+UCFA+WC C - ative FCF FCF/ EBIAT Year Sales EBIAT FCF NA NA 0.0% 10.0% 2.0 NA 2.0 4.4 7.3 10.7 Sanel 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 100.0 120.0 144.0 172.8 207.4 248.8 286.2 329.1 378.4 435.2 500.5 530.5 NA 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 6.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% NA 12.0 16.4 17.3 20.7 24.9 28.6 32.9 37.8 43.5 50.0 53.1 50.0 60.0 72.0 86.4 103.7 124.4 143.1 164.5 189.2 217.6 250.2 265.3 NA 10.0 12.0 14.4 17.3 20.7 18.7 21.5 24.7 28.4 32.6 15.0 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.1 10.0 11.4 13.2 15.1 17.4 38.0 NA 16.77 16.15 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 34.8% 34.82 34.8% 34.82 34.8% 71.7% 24.8 36.3 9.4 66.6 82.0 120.0 Total Present Value of Free Cash Flows Terminal Growth Rate Discount - Rate 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 3.0% 6.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 26.0% 28.0% 30.0% Panel 234.6 171.2 129.3 100.2 79.4 54.1 52.5 43.7 36.7 31.3 247.5 177.5 132.5 101.9 80.3 64.5 52.7 43.7 36.7 31.2 26.8 263.6 185.2 136.3 103.9 81.3 65.0 52. 9 43.8 36.7 31.1 26.7 284.2 194.5 140.8 106. 1 82.4 65.5 53.1 43.8 36.6 31.1 26.6 311.8 206.1 146.2 108.7 83.7 56.1 53.4 43.9 36.6 31.0 26.5 350.4 221.1 152.8 111.8 85. 1 56.8 53.6 408.3 241.0 161.1 115.5 86.9 67.5 53.9 44.0 36.5 30.8 26.3 504.8 268.9 171.7 120.1 88.9 68.4 54.3 44.1 36.5 30.7 26.2 697.7 310.8 185.8 125.7 91.3 69.5 56.7 44.2 36.4 30.5 26.0 36.6 30.9 26.4 EBIAT = Earnings Before Interest, But After Taxes FA - Net Fixed Assets WC = Operating Working Capital FCF = Total Free Cash Flow = EBIAT . (Change in FA and WC) Total Present Value = Present Value of FCF - Present Value of Terminal Value Terminal Value = FCF in year 11 divided by (Discount Rate - Terminal Growth Rate) C D F G H KL B 1 Cash flows and valuation 2 Key Assumptions Terminal Years (Year 11 on): 3 Years 1-5: 4 Initial Sales 5 Growth Rate 6 EBIAT/S 7 (FA+WC)/S Years 6-10: 100.00 20.0% Growth Rate 10.0% EBIAT/S 50.0% (FA+WC)/S 15.0% Terminal Growth Rate 10.0% Terminal EBIAT/S 50.0% Terminal (FA+WC)/S 10.0% 50.0% Cumulative Year FCF FCF NA NA 2.0 2.0 2.4 Sales 100.0 120.0 144.0 172.8 207.4 248.8 286.2 329.1 378.4 435.2 500.5 530.5 Growth Rate NA 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 6.0% EBIAT/Sales NA 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% FA+WC/ Sales 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% EBIAT NA 12.0 14.4 17.3 20.7 24.9 28.6 32.9 37.8 43.5 50.1 53.1 FA+WC 50.0 60.0 72.0 86.4 103.7 124.4 143.1 164.6 189.2 217.6 250.3 265.3 Change FA+WC NA 10.0 12.0 14.4 17.3 20.7 18.7 21.5 24.7 28.4 32.7 15.0 2.9 3.4 4.2 9.9 11.5 13.2 15.1 17.4 38.1 Panel A FCF/EBIAT NA 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 16.6% 16.8% 34.7% 34.8% 34.9% 34.7% 34.8% 71.7% 4.4 7.3 10.7 14.9 24.8 36.3 49.5 64.6 82.0 120.0 11 Total present value of free cash flow Terminal Growth Rate 2% Discount rate 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 26.0% 28.0% 30.0% 0% 234.6 171.2 129.3 100.2 79.4 64.1 52.5 43.7 36.7 31.3 26.9 1% 247.5 177.5 132.5 101.9 80.3 64.5 52.7 43.7 36.7 31.2 26.8 3% 284.2 194.5 140.8 106.1 82.4 65.5 53.1 43.8 36.6 31.1 26.6 263.6 185.2 136.3 103.9 81.3 65.0 52.9 43.8 36.7 31.1 26.7 4% 311.8 206.1 146.2 108.7 83.7 66.1 53.4 43.9 36.6 31.0 26.5 5% 350.4 221.1 152.8 111.8 85.1 66.8 53.6 43.9 36.6 30.9 26.4 6% 408.3 241.0 161.1 115.5 86.9 67.5 53.9 44.0 36.5 30.8 26.3 7% 504.8 268.9 171.7 120.1 88.9 68.4 54.3 44.1 36.5 30.7 26.2 8% 697.7 310.8 185.8 125.7 91.3 69.5 54.7 44.2 36.4 30.5 26.0 Panel BStep by Step Solution
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