Question
An airline company knows that it will need to purchase 10,000 metric tons of jet fuel in three months. It seeks protection against an upturn
An airline company knows that it will need to purchase 10,000 metric tons of jet fuel in three months. It seeks protection against an upturn in prices using futures contracts. As there is no futures contract on jet fuel, the company refers to heating oil instead. The company can hedge using heating oil futures contracts traded on NYME and the notional for one contract is 42,000 gallons. The current price of jet fuel is $277/metric ton. The futures price of heating oil is $0.6903/gallon. Additionally, you are given the regression results below.
Linear Regression Results for Airline Risk Management
The dependent variable is the quarterly return on jet fuel price, while the independent variable is the quarterly return on the heating oil futures contract.
Heating Oil
Constant
Observations R2
Adjusted R2 Residual Std. Error F Statistic
Note:
Dependent variable:
Jet Fuel
1.153 (0.037)
0.002 (0.007)
82 0.923 0.922 0.063 (df = 80) 956.654 (df = 1; 80)
p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
How many futures contracts the airline company needs to long/short?
(a) Long 90 contracts
(b) Long 110 contracts
(c) Short 90 contracts
(d) Short 110 contracts
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