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. An economics consulting firm has created a model to predict recessions. The model predicts a recession with probability 80% when a recession is indeed

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. An economics consulting firm has created a model to predict recessions. The model predicts a recession with probability 80% when a recession is indeed coming and with probability 10% when no recession is coming. The unconditional probability of falling into a recession is 20%. If the model predicts a recession, what is the probability that a recession will indeed come

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