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An education authority provides children with musical instrument tuition. The authority is concerned about the number of children giving up playing their instrument and is
An education authority provides children with musical instrument tuition. The authority is concerned about the number of children giving up playing their instrument and is testing a new tuition method with a proportion of the children which it hopes will improve persistency rates. Data have been collected and a Cox proportional hazards model has been fitted for the hazard of giving up playing the instrument. Symmetric- 95% confidence intervals (based upon standard errors) for the regression parameters are shown below. Covariate Confidence Interval Instrument Piano Violin Trumpet 0 [-0.05,0.19] [0.07,0.21) Tuition method Traditional New 0 [-0.15,0.05] Sex Male Female [-0.08,0.12] 0 () Write down a general expression for the Cox proportional hazards model, defining all terms that you use. [3] (ii) State the regression parameters for the fitted model. [2] (iii) Describe the class of children to which the baseline hazard applies. [1] (iv) Discuss the suggestion that the new tuition method has improved the chances of children continuing to play their instrument. [3] (v) Calculate, using the results from the model, the probability that a boy will still be playing the piano after 4 years if provided with the new tuition method, given that the probability that a girl will still be playing the trumpet after 4 years following the traditional method is 0.7. [3] [Total 12]
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