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Analysts are predicting that Krispy Kreme will be able to perform highly effectively and continue to grow rapidly in the coming two years. Do you

Analysts are predicting that Krispy Kreme will be able to perform highly effectively and continue to grow rapidly in the coming two years. Do you agree with their analysis? If so, why? If not, why not?

Exhibit 5 (continued)
Table G Krispy Kreme Income Statement (FY01-FY04E)
Fiscal Year Ends: January FY 2001A FY 2002A FY 2003E FY 2004E
Company Stores 213,677 266,209 303,206 334,624
Franchised Stores 234,452 355,456 533,968 779,888
Systemwide Sales $448,129 $621,655 $837,174 $1,114,512
Company Stores 213,677 266,209 303,206 334,624
Franchise Operations 9,445 14,963 22,615 32,128
Support Sales 77,516 114,137 169,507 239,445
Net Sales $300,638 $394,354 $494,818 $606,197
Company Store Expenses 181,469 217,418 245,065 270,026
Franchise Expenses 3,643 4,896 6,771 9,780
Support Operations Expenses 65,512 94,631 138,413 194,058
Operating Expenses 250,624 316,946 390,249 473,864
D & A 6,458 7,959 10,121 12,081
General & Admin. Expense 20,061 27,562 33,959 40,918
Operating Profit 29,953 41,887 60,489 79,334
Interest/Other Expense (Income) (1,593) (2,408) (1,395) (1,400)
Joint Venture Income (Loss) (600) (602) (198) 450
Minority Interest (717) (1,147) (1,183) (850)
Earnings Before Taxes 23,771 42,546 60,503 80,334
Income Taxes 9,058 16,168 22,991 30,527
Net Income 14,713 26,378 37,512 49,807
EPS $0.27 $0.45 $0.63 $0.84
Avg. Shs. Outs. (FD) 53,656 58,434 59,174 59,574
Sales Ratios
Operating Expenses 83.36% 80.37% 78.87% 78.17%
Contribution Profit (Bef. G & A) 16.64% 19.63% 21.13% 21.83%
D & A 2.15% 2.02% 2.05% 1.99%
General Administrative Exp. 6.67% 6.99% 6.86% 6.75%
Operating Income 9.96% 10.62% 12.22% 13.09%
Tax Rate 38.10% 38.00% 38.00% 38.00%
Net Income 4.89% 6.69% 7.58% 8.22%
Year-Over-Year % Change:
Systemwide Sales 40.6% 38.7% 34.7% 33.1%
Company Sales 36.5% 31.2% 25.5% 22.5%
Operating Expenses 29.6% 26.5% 23.1% 21.4%
Selling General & Admin. 27.5% 37.4% 23.2% 20.5%
Expense
Operating Profit 167.5% 39.8% 44.4% 31.2%
Net Income 147.0% 79.3% 42.2% 32.8%
EPS 81.1% 64.6% 40.4% 31.9%
Source: CIBC World Markets and company information.

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