Question
Asterix Inc. is a mature company whose management team has a poor track record. There is a possibility that there will be a management turnover
Asterix Inc. is a mature company whose management team has a poor track record. There is a possibility that there will be a management turnover to replace the poor performing CEO. You have the following information:
With incumbent management team, the firm will:
- Generate $50 million in after-tax operating income next year
- Reinvest $20 million of this after-tax operating income
- Generate a constant growth of 3% a year in perpetuity
- Have a cost of capital of 7%
If there is management turnover, this is your expectation under the new management:
- $50 million in after-tax operating income next year
- Generate constant growth of 3% a year in perpetuity
- Cost of capital: 7%
- The return on capital will double from its current level
You estimate the probability of a management turnover at 30%. What is the expected value of the operating assets?
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