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Below you will find the summary output for a forecast of change in foreign exchange between the USD and the CAD (Canadian Dollar). Foreign exchange

  1. Below you will find the summary output for a forecast of change in foreign exchange between the USD and the CAD (Canadian Dollar). Foreign exchange is quoted in CAD per USD (i.e. indirect for USD). Three variables are included as explanatory variables: 1) differences in interest rates, 2) differences in money supply growth and 3) differences in corporate tax rates.

  1. Comment on the significance of the regression.
  2. Give a reasoned explanation of the result for differences in interest rates-LINK TO THEORY
  3. Give a reasoned explanation of the results for differences in GDP growth-LINK TO THEORY
  4. Give a reasoned explanation of the results for differences in corporate tax rates-TRY TO EXPLAIN

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0.52

R Square

0.40

Adjusted R Square

0.30

Standard Error

0.02

Observations

374.00

ANOVA

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

3.00

0.01

0.00

14.30

0.00

Residual

370.00

0.11

0.00

Total

373.00

0.12

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Intercept

0.00

0.00

-0.06

0.96

0.00

Interest CAD-interest USD

1.45

0.05

6.52

0.00

0.24

gMD(CAD)-gMS(USD)

0.80

0.03

2.05

0.09

-0.19

Tax Rates (CAD)-Tax Rates (USD)

0.55

0.05

2.50

0.04

-0.07

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