Question
Both projects are in the same industry, and appear to have a similar cost of capital, in the opinion of some analysts. The IRRs are
Both projects are in the same industry, and appear to have a similar cost of capital, in the opinion of some analysts. The IRRs are similar. What project is preferable for most investors? Why?
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Alpha Project | -200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 0 |
Beta Project | -200 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
9. Valuation:
A small hi-tech company asks your PE fund if the PE fund wants to buy the company.
- In year 0, the company had a negative net income. Year 0 has already occurred, so you do not need to include such results.
- The company managers believes that negative income will turn positive, as sales grow.
- The hi-tech firm works in the cloud, and it has few fixed assets, so depreciation is zero. Capital expenses are zero.
- Working capital requirements are 15% of revenue.
- You believe, if the company achieves the forecasts, the PE fund can sell the company for $300 million in four years.
- For similar risky investments, the PE fund uses a project WACC discount rate of 40%.
What is your estimated company present value at the end of year 0, i.e., when the forecasts begin?
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Revenue | 20 | 40 | 70 | 100 | 130 |
Net income | -10 | -10 | -5 | +10 | +15 |
Working capital needs | 1.5 | ? | ? | ? | ? |
Sale of the company | -- | -- | -- | -- | 300 |
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