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Bulloch County has never allowed liquor to be sold in restaurants. However, in 3 months, county residents are scheduled to vote on a referendum to
Bulloch County has never allowed liquor to be sold in restaurants. However, in months, county residents are scheduled to vote on a referendum to allow liquor to be sold by the drink. Currently, polls indicate there is a chance that the referendum will be passed by voters. Phil Jackson is a local real estate speculator who is eyeing a closed restaurant building that is scheduled to be sold at a sealed bid auction. Phil estimates that if he bids $ million, there is a chance he will obtain the property; if he bids $ million, there is a chance he will obtain the property; and if he bids $ million, there is an chance he will obtain the property. If he acquires the property and the referendum passes, Phil believes he could then sell the restaurant for $ million. However, if the referendum fails, he believes he could sell the property for only $ million.
Develop a decision tree for this problem.
What is the optimal decision according to the EMV criterion?
Create a strategy table showing how the optimal decision might change if the probability of the referendum passing varies from to in steps of
To which financial estimate in the decision tree is the EMV most sensitive
Solve ONLY and Show the steps while you're doing them in excel with pictures and formulas please
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