Question
Charles Stevens, vice president for investment analysis at First National Bank of Florida,is looking for a company to recommend to the banks portfolio committee for
Charles Stevens, vice president for investment analysis at First National Bank of Florida,is looking for a company to recommend to the banks portfolio committee for inclusion in itsbuy list for the various trust funds managed by First Nationals trust department. Stevens
criteria for recommending a company were that it be a good, fundamentally sound, long termprospect and not a hot stock. Since the stock market crash, portfolio returns had been ratherweak. Stevens hoped to convince the portfolio committee to take a long term view of the marketrather than focus on short term price changes.
Stevens had recently read an article in the Wall Street Journal concerning HiTop Toys,Inc., a toy manufacturer. HiTop had posted a six month pretax profit margin of 10 percent. Whilethis was far below the 15% profit margins enjoyed before the market decline, it was far ahead ofother companies in the industry. Perhaps HiTop was a good long term investment. The toy industry depended on three main factors for growth: the economy, demographics,and new product innovations on a regular basis. The average life for new products in the toyindustry was only one or two Christmas seasons. Companies had two choices to maintain theirsales strengths. Either they came up with regular product innovations or they relied on strongstandby toys. HiTop had changed its marketing strategy during the past two years. Management wasconcentrating on its solid performing toys and moving away from the highly risky (yetpotentially very profitable) promotional, faddish toys that had dominated the toy market over themost of the past decade. However, for the past two years, shipments of the blockbuster toys hadsteadily declined, leaving the manufacturers with obsolete inventory and machinery. Two ofHiTops three primary competitors had put too much emphasis on blockbuster toys. One was inChapter 11 bankruptcy and the other had been forced to borrow to stay afloat. Its debt was now88% of its total capital. In contrast HiTop and the other major competitor had bitten the bullet. They had trimmedoverhead, written down inventories, and closed plants with excess capacity. HiTop was focusingon its traditional toy line of stable toys, board games, and preschool games. Today HiTop has three new hot prospects for the future. First, the company recentlyannounced the purchase of two operations that produced ride-on toys and outdoor furniture forchildren. These were expected to compliment HiTops solid array of preschool items. Second,HiTop had just signed the toy license on what was expected to be this summers hottest childrens movie. Third HiTop was rumored to be planning to enter the video game segment of theindustry. In preparation for the necessary analysis, Stevens had collected his financial statementsand industry data for the past five years. Exhibit 1 contains company income statements for thefive years xx01 through xx05. Exhibit 2 provides comparable balance sheets. Exhibit 3 contains industry average percentage income statements, balance sheets, and ratios as reported by RobertMorris and Associates.
Exhibit 1 | |||||||
HiTop Toys, Inc. | |||||||
Income Statements | |||||||
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| xx01 | xx02 | xx03 | xx04 | xx05 |
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Revenue |
| 221,522 | 714,392 | 1,220,352 | 1,329,631 | 1,345,089 | |
| Cost of Goods Sold | 107,136 | 340,007 | 556,192 | 605,071 | 647,342 | |
Gross Profit |
| 114,386 | 374,385 | 664,160 | 724,560 | 697,747 | |
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Operating Expense |
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| General, Administrative, |
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| and Selling Expenses | 71,871 | 206,652 | 382,271 | 437,221 | 443,713 | |
| Research & Development | 8,794 | 21,924 | 40,345 | 57,701 | 69,472 | |
| Depreciation |
| 5,100 | 14,100 | 19,467 | 34,009 | 52,077 |
Total Operating Expenses | 85,765 | 242,676 | 442,083 | 528,931 | 565,262 | ||
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Operating Profit |
| 28,621 | 131,709 | 222,077 | 195,629 | 132,485 | |
Other Income |
| 3,343 | 6,048 | 10,499 | 25,828 | 171 | |
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes | 31,964 | 137,757 | 232,576 | 221,457 | 132,656 | ||
| Interest Expense | 2,400 | 27,546 | 37,661 | 29,619 | 33,021 | |
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Earnings Before Taxes | 29,564 | 110,211 | 194,915 | 191,838 | 99,635 | ||
| Income Taxes |
| 14,334 | 57,823 | 95,946 | 92,679 | 51,412 |
Net Income |
| 15,230 | 52,388 | 98,969 | 99,159 | 48,223 | |
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Preferred Dividends | 0 | 0 | 2,769 | 2,559 | 2,817 | ||
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Earnings Available to Common | 15,230 | 52,388 | 96,200 | 96,600 | 45,406 | ||
| Common Dividend | 1,628 | 2,774 | 3,858 | 4,740 | 4,757 | |
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Retained Earnings | 13,602 | 49,614 | 92,342 | 91,860 | 40,649 | ||
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Outstanding Shares | 32,550 | 46,230 | 48,220 | 52,663 | 52,850 | ||
Earnings Per Share | $ 0.47 | $ 1.13 | $ 2.00 | $ 1.83 | $ 0.86 | ||
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Average Price Per Share | $ 3.85 | $ 8.55 | $ 15.55 | $ 23.75 | $ 18.25 |
Exhibit 2 | |||||||
HiTop Toys, Inc. | |||||||
Balance Sheets | |||||||
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| xx01 | xx02 | xx03 | xx04 | xx05 |
Assets |
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Current Assets |
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| Cash |
| $ 40,972 | $ 62,786 | $ 182,385 | $ 116,061 | $ 161,770 |
| Accounts Receivable | 48,726 | 200,797 | 241,786 | 305,489 | 339,556 | |
| Inventory |
| 9,797 | 76,753 | 67,856 | 122,902 | 133,585 |
| Other Current Assets | 7,906 | 23,757 | 38,407 | 57,010 | 57,721 | |
Total Current Assets | 107,401 | 364,093 | 530,434 | 601,462 | 692,632 | ||
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Gross Fixed Assets | 28,240 | 107,755 | 146,553 | 231,508 | 297,900 | ||
| Accum. Depreciation | 13,850 | 18,136 | 37,233 | 70,038 | 121,647 | |
Net Fixed Assets | 14,390 | 89,619 | 109,320 | 161,470 | 176,253 | ||
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Other Assets |
| 9,468 | 211,810 | 205,879 | 218,928 | 207,107 | |
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Total Assets |
| 131,259 | 665,522 | 845,633 | 981,860 | 1,075,992 | |
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Liabilities and Stockholders Equity |
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Current Liabilities |
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| Accounts Payable | $ 20,122 | $ 30,349 | $ 45,856 | $ 91,142 | $ 88,239 | |
| Accrued Expenses | 18,995 | 105,742 | 142,685 | 107,950 | 115,089 | |
| Accrued Taxes | 10,956 | 23,991 | 24,486 | 30,853 | 26,183 | |
| Short Term Debt | 1,303 | 83,404 | 26,687 | 42,475 | 74,397 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 51,376 | 243,486 | 239,714 | 272,420 | 303,908 | ||
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Long Term Liabilities |
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| Long Term Debt | 3,063 | 127,537 | 185,746 | 124,977 | 127,127 | |
| Other Liabilities | 1,035 | 1,524 | 2,240 | 4,191 | 3,414 | |
Total Long Term Liabilities | 4,098 | 129,061 | 187,986 | 129,168 | 130,541 | ||
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Stockholders Equity |
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| Preferred Stock | 2,051 | 35,728 | 3,517 | 3,517 | 3,517 | |
| Common Stock | 36,443 | 170,342 | 235,169 | 305,648 | 326,269 | |
| Retained Earnings | 37,291 | 86,905 | 179,247 | 271,107 | 311,757 | |
Total Stockholders Equity | 75,785 | 292,975 | 417,933 | 580,272 | 641,543 | ||
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Total Liabilities and |
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| Stockholders Equity | 131,259 | 665,522 | 845,633 | 981,860 | 1,075,992 |
Exhibit 3 | |||||||
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Industry Averages and Ratios Toy Manufacturers | |||||||
(Robert Morris & Associates, Annual Statement Studies) | |||||||
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| xx01 | xx02 | xx03 | xx04 | xx05 |
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Percentage Income Statements |
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Revenue |
| 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
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Gross Profit |
| 34.7% | 35.0% | 34.6% | 35.1% | 35.0% |
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Operating Expenses | 29.8% | 28.2% | 29.9% | 28.3% | 29.6% |
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Operating Profit | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
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All Other Expenses | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
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Profit Before Taxes | 1.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
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Percentage Balance Sheet |
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Cash |
| 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
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Accounts Receivable | 29.0% | 30.4% | 28.7% | 31.0% | 28.0% |
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Inventory |
| 34.1% | 31.2% | 33.7% | 29.7% | 33.1% |
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Other Current Assets | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
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Total Current Assets | 74.9% | 73.4% | 71.7% | 73.0% | 72.2% |
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Net Fixed Assets | 19.0% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
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Other Assets | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% |
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Total Assets | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
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Notes Payable | 14.3% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% |
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Current Maturity - Long Debt | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
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Accounts Payable | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.3% |
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Accrued Taxes | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
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Other Current Liabilities | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% |
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Total Current Liabilities | 40.3% | 40.1% | 47.9% | 42.4% | 42.3% |
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Long Term Debt | 14.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.4% |
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Other Long Term Debt | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
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Stockholders Equity | 40.5% | 40.4% | 34.0% | 41.3% | 41.0% |
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Total Liabilities and Equity | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
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Ratios |
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Current |
| 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
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Quick |
| 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
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Sales/Receivables | 6.9 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 5.9 |
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Cost of Sales/Inventory | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
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Sales/Working Capital | 6.0 | 5.1 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 5.5 |
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EBIT/Interest | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3.6 |
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Total Debt/Net Worth | 160.0% | 150.0% | 190.0% | 150.0% | 170.0% |
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% EBT/Equity | 14.8% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 28.9% |
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%EBT/Total Assets | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
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Sales/Total Assets | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
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Prepare a report/memo, with attached schedules that addresses the following questions:
1. Prepare a common size income statement and balance sheet for HiTop for each of the
years.
2. Calculate five years of relevant financial ratios for HiTop (including profitability ratios,efficiency ratios, liquidity ratios, debt ratios, dividend ratios, and growth rates) andidentify the relevant financial strengths, weaknesses, and trends of the company.3. Compare the financial results of HiTop with the industry and identify and discuss the
areas where HiTop is stronger or weaker than the industry.
4. Using the DuPont model analyze the return on equity for the past five years. Comment
on the strengths and weaknesses uncovered by this analysis.
5. Given this analysis would you recommend HiTop be included in First National Banks
buy list? Explain why?
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