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Charles Stevens, vice president for investment analysis at First National Bank of Florida,is looking for a company to recommend to the banks portfolio committee for

Charles Stevens, vice president for investment analysis at First National Bank of Florida,is looking for a company to recommend to the banks portfolio committee for inclusion in itsbuy list for the various trust funds managed by First Nationals trust department. Stevens

criteria for recommending a company were that it be a good, fundamentally sound, long termprospect and not a hot stock. Since the stock market crash, portfolio returns had been ratherweak. Stevens hoped to convince the portfolio committee to take a long term view of the marketrather than focus on short term price changes.

Stevens had recently read an article in the Wall Street Journal concerning HiTop Toys,Inc., a toy manufacturer. HiTop had posted a six month pretax profit margin of 10 percent. Whilethis was far below the 15% profit margins enjoyed before the market decline, it was far ahead ofother companies in the industry. Perhaps HiTop was a good long term investment. The toy industry depended on three main factors for growth: the economy, demographics,and new product innovations on a regular basis. The average life for new products in the toyindustry was only one or two Christmas seasons. Companies had two choices to maintain theirsales strengths. Either they came up with regular product innovations or they relied on strongstandby toys. HiTop had changed its marketing strategy during the past two years. Management wasconcentrating on its solid performing toys and moving away from the highly risky (yetpotentially very profitable) promotional, faddish toys that had dominated the toy market over themost of the past decade. However, for the past two years, shipments of the blockbuster toys hadsteadily declined, leaving the manufacturers with obsolete inventory and machinery. Two ofHiTops three primary competitors had put too much emphasis on blockbuster toys. One was inChapter 11 bankruptcy and the other had been forced to borrow to stay afloat. Its debt was now88% of its total capital. In contrast HiTop and the other major competitor had bitten the bullet. They had trimmedoverhead, written down inventories, and closed plants with excess capacity. HiTop was focusingon its traditional toy line of stable toys, board games, and preschool games. Today HiTop has three new hot prospects for the future. First, the company recentlyannounced the purchase of two operations that produced ride-on toys and outdoor furniture forchildren. These were expected to compliment HiTops solid array of preschool items. Second,HiTop had just signed the toy license on what was expected to be this summers hottest childrens movie. Third HiTop was rumored to be planning to enter the video game segment of theindustry. In preparation for the necessary analysis, Stevens had collected his financial statementsand industry data for the past five years. Exhibit 1 contains company income statements for thefive years xx01 through xx05. Exhibit 2 provides comparable balance sheets. Exhibit 3 contains industry average percentage income statements, balance sheets, and ratios as reported by RobertMorris and Associates.

Exhibit 1

HiTop Toys, Inc.

Income Statements

(thousands)

xx01

xx02

xx03

xx04

xx05

Revenue

221,522

714,392

1,220,352

1,329,631

1,345,089

Cost of Goods Sold

107,136

340,007

556,192

605,071

647,342

Gross Profit

114,386

374,385

664,160

724,560

697,747

Operating Expense

General, Administrative,

and Selling Expenses

71,871

206,652

382,271

437,221

443,713

Research & Development

8,794

21,924

40,345

57,701

69,472

Depreciation

5,100

14,100

19,467

34,009

52,077

Total Operating Expenses

85,765

242,676

442,083

528,931

565,262

Operating Profit

28,621

131,709

222,077

195,629

132,485

Other Income

3,343

6,048

10,499

25,828

171

Earnings Before Interest & Taxes

31,964

137,757

232,576

221,457

132,656

Interest Expense

2,400

27,546

37,661

29,619

33,021

Earnings Before Taxes

29,564

110,211

194,915

191,838

99,635

Income Taxes

14,334

57,823

95,946

92,679

51,412

Net Income

15,230

52,388

98,969

99,159

48,223

Preferred Dividends

0

0

2,769

2,559

2,817

Earnings Available to Common

15,230

52,388

96,200

96,600

45,406

Common Dividend

1,628

2,774

3,858

4,740

4,757

Retained Earnings

13,602

49,614

92,342

91,860

40,649

Outstanding Shares

32,550

46,230

48,220

52,663

52,850

Earnings Per Share

$ 0.47

$ 1.13

$ 2.00

$ 1.83

$ 0.86

Average Price Per Share

$ 3.85

$ 8.55

$ 15.55

$ 23.75

$ 18.25

Exhibit 2

HiTop Toys, Inc.

Balance Sheets

(thousands)

xx01

xx02

xx03

xx04

xx05

Assets

Current Assets

Cash

$ 40,972

$ 62,786

$ 182,385

$ 116,061

$ 161,770

Accounts Receivable

48,726

200,797

241,786

305,489

339,556

Inventory

9,797

76,753

67,856

122,902

133,585

Other Current Assets

7,906

23,757

38,407

57,010

57,721

Total Current Assets

107,401

364,093

530,434

601,462

692,632

Gross Fixed Assets

28,240

107,755

146,553

231,508

297,900

Accum. Depreciation

13,850

18,136

37,233

70,038

121,647

Net Fixed Assets

14,390

89,619

109,320

161,470

176,253

Other Assets

9,468

211,810

205,879

218,928

207,107

Total Assets

131,259

665,522

845,633

981,860

1,075,992

Liabilities and Stockholders Equity

Current Liabilities

Accounts Payable

$ 20,122

$ 30,349

$ 45,856

$ 91,142

$ 88,239

Accrued Expenses

18,995

105,742

142,685

107,950

115,089

Accrued Taxes

10,956

23,991

24,486

30,853

26,183

Short Term Debt

1,303

83,404

26,687

42,475

74,397

Total Current Liabilities

51,376

243,486

239,714

272,420

303,908

Long Term Liabilities

Long Term Debt

3,063

127,537

185,746

124,977

127,127

Other Liabilities

1,035

1,524

2,240

4,191

3,414

Total Long Term Liabilities

4,098

129,061

187,986

129,168

130,541

Stockholders Equity

Preferred Stock

2,051

35,728

3,517

3,517

3,517

Common Stock

36,443

170,342

235,169

305,648

326,269

Retained Earnings

37,291

86,905

179,247

271,107

311,757

Total Stockholders Equity

75,785

292,975

417,933

580,272

641,543

Total Liabilities and

Stockholders Equity

131,259

665,522

845,633

981,860

1,075,992

Exhibit 3

Industry Averages and Ratios

Toy Manufacturers

(Robert Morris & Associates, Annual Statement Studies)

xx01

xx02

xx03

xx04

xx05

Percentage Income Statements

Revenue

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Gross Profit

34.7%

35.0%

34.6%

35.1%

35.0%

Operating Expenses

29.8%

28.2%

29.9%

28.3%

29.6%

Operating Profit

4.8%

6.8%

4.7%

6.8%

5.4%

All Other Expenses

3.0%

2.7%

2.1%

3.1%

2.0%

Profit Before Taxes

1.8%

4.1%

2.7%

3.7%

3.4%

Percentage Balance Sheet

Cash

9.5%

8.3%

7.4%

8.9%

8.5%

Accounts Receivable

29.0%

30.4%

28.7%

31.0%

28.0%

Inventory

34.1%

31.2%

33.7%

29.7%

33.1%

Other Current Assets

2.3%

3.2%

1.9%

3.4%

2.6%

Total Current Assets

74.9%

73.4%

71.7%

73.0%

72.2%

Net Fixed Assets

19.0%

19.7%

20.5%

19.1%

18.4%

Other Assets

6.1%

7.4%

7.7%

7.8%

9.3%

Total Assets

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Notes Payable

14.3%

12.2%

18.6%

14.5%

15.1%

Current Maturity - Long Debt

2.8%

2.8%

2.8%

4.6%

4.0%

Accounts Payable

13.0%

13.5%

14.6%

13.0%

13.3%

Accrued Taxes

0.0%

0.0%

0.7%

1.6%

1.7%

Other Current Liabilities

10.2%

11.6%

11.2%

8.7%

8.2%

Total Current Liabilities

40.3%

40.1%

47.9%

42.4%

42.3%

Long Term Debt

14.7%

16.2%

13.9%

13.5%

13.4%

Other Long Term Debt

4.7%

3.5%

3.4%

2.8%

3.1%

Stockholders Equity

40.5%

40.4%

34.0%

41.3%

41.0%

Total Liabilities and Equity

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Ratios

Current

1.9

1.9

1.6

1.8

1.8

Quick

0.9

1.0

0.8

1.0

1.0

Sales/Receivables

6.9

6.1

6.5

5.7

5.9

Cost of Sales/Inventory

3.7

3.4

3.8

4.5

4.1

Sales/Working Capital

6.0

5.1

6.7

5.3

5.5

EBIT/Interest

1.8

2.2

2.0

1.9

3.6

Total Debt/Net Worth

160.0%

150.0%

190.0%

150.0%

170.0%

% EBT/Equity

14.8%

20.2%

18.5%

17.1%

28.9%

%EBT/Total Assets

6.5%

5.9%

4.9%

6.7%

7.8%

Sales/Total Assets

1.9

1.6

1.7

1.7

1.6

Prepare a report/memo, with attached schedules that addresses the following questions:

1. Prepare a common size income statement and balance sheet for HiTop for each of the

years.

2. Calculate five years of relevant financial ratios for HiTop (including profitability ratios,efficiency ratios, liquidity ratios, debt ratios, dividend ratios, and growth rates) andidentify the relevant financial strengths, weaknesses, and trends of the company.3. Compare the financial results of HiTop with the industry and identify and discuss the

areas where HiTop is stronger or weaker than the industry.

4. Using the DuPont model analyze the return on equity for the past five years. Comment

on the strengths and weaknesses uncovered by this analysis.

5. Given this analysis would you recommend HiTop be included in First National Banks

buy list? Explain why?

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