Company X is interested in investing in a coffee shop in Oxford. The company estimates that the shop would require an initial investment of $$50000$ and following the investment, the shop can generate cash flows for the next $2$ years. However, the future cash flows will depend on the demand. There is a $25\%$ chance the cash flows will be $$50000$ each year, $50\%$ chance the cash flows will be $$30000$ each year, and $25\%$ chance the cash flows will be $$15000$ each year. The level of demand will become known in a year while the investment cost will not change. The WACC is $14\%$ and the risk free rate is $6\%.$ What is the decision tree analysis anf what is the value of P for the BS model?