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Compute the probability of flipping a coin and getting heads, given that the previous flip was tails. Suppose a math class contains 25 students, 14

  1. Compute the probability of flipping a coin and getting heads, given that the previous flip was tails.
  2. Suppose a math class contains 25 students, 14 females (three of whom speak French) and 11 males (two of whom speak French). Compute the probability that a randomly selected student speaks French, given that the student is female.
  3. A certain virus infects one in every 400 people. A test used to detect the virus in a person is positive 90% of the time if the person has the virus and 10% of the time if the person does not have the virus. Let A be the event "the person is infected" and B be the event "the person tests positive".

Find the probability that a person has the virus given that they have tested positive, i.e. find P(A | B).

Find the probability that a person does not have the virus given that they test negative, i.e. find P(not A | not B).

  1. A company estimates that 0.7% of their products will fail after the original warranty period but within 2 years of the purchase, with a replacement cost of $350. If they offer a 2 year extended warranty for $48, what is the company's expected value of each warranty sold?
  2. An insurance company estimates the probability of an earthquake in the next year to be 0.0013. The average damage done by an earthquake it estimates to be $60,000. If the company offers earthquake insurance for $100, what is their expected value of the policy?

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