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Consider the 2000 U.S. presidential election of Bush v. Gore, the outcome of which was decided by a tiny margin in the state of Florida.
Consider the 2000 U.S. presidential election of Bush v. Gore, the outcome of which was decided by a tiny margin in the state of Florida. Let denote the true fraction of votes won by Bush in Florida. In any count i of the votes, there is some error (denoted by ), due to human mistakes or errors in the way the machine reads the ballots. The error component for a given count of the ballots i is denoted , which is distributed according to Unif(-.05, +.05). Note that this implies E[e] = 0 The error term is i.i.d. across any count of the ballots. Write the outcome of any count: Yi = l + j (For this question, assume Bush and Gore are the only two candidates, and that Bush is declared the victor if he gets at least .5 of the votes.) Show that your estimator is unbiased
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